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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Brian Tilley

Team: Lady MargaretDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

763

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

47

Matches Played

12

Wins

35

Losses

26%

Win Rate

7.5

Avg Win Margin

9.3

Avg Loss Margin

8-15

Home Record

4-20

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 47 matches

+15 Rising
6 Sept18 Jun3 Sept6 May15 Jul5 May7 Jul1 Sept-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.16
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.5
score-0.08→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.4
score-0.06→contribution-0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
840
score-0.58→contribution-0.06
Weighted Score-0.298
Sample Size Confidence
95%(40/41 matches)
Rating911 → shrunk 915→ adjusted 765
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)761
Recency Blend40% (40 recent matches)
Final Rating763
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

12W35L47 matches·25.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lady Margarets2022–2025Division 23382524.2%
Lady Margaret2026Division 21441028.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Ron PickavanceH0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision 2
8/25/2026Graham FenneyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026Chris TarbuckH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2026G EdmundsA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026J EdwardsH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026Robert AngusA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
7/7/2026Liam RogersH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2026Gary IrelandA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Craig PunshonH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
6/2/2026David HeyesH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
5/26/2026R GerrardA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Greg WinstanleyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
5/5/2026Jack CunliffeH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026Dave RogersA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
9/2/2025Mike TooleH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025Neil FitzsimonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025Mike WarburtonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Colin BurrowsH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025Andrew ValentineH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Derek RoylanceA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025Jack HowarthH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Danny EustaceA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Paul KellyH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Andy WeaverH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Frank TwissA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025Ken BibbyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Alan WrightA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025Ernie HarrisonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Harry SmithA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
9/4/2024Neil CunninghamA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024Jason FinneyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
8/13/2024Neil CunninghamH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Peter SpeakmanA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Callum RothwellA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Graham BrandH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
6/25/2024AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024Ged FinneyA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024Ron LambH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024Simon KeeniganA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024Martin WebsterH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2023Ian FurbankA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023Mal PerksA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 2
9/6/2022Wilf KayH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022David FryerH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Alan ShortA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Trevor FrenchA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022Richard MartlandA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

8

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLWLL
Last 1030% win rate— steady
LLWLLLLLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Neil Cunningham0220%9/4/2024
Ron Pickavance0110%9/1/2026
Graham Fenney0110%8/25/2026
Chris Tarbuck101100%8/18/2026
G Edmunds0110%7/28/2026
J Edwards0110%7/21/2026
Robert Angus0110%7/14/2026
Liam Rogers0110%7/7/2026
Gary Ireland0110%6/23/2026
Craig Punshon101100%6/16/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)6/25/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Ron Pickavance (-21)9/1/2026
Best Season
202436% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202527% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
26% → 25%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
83647 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
12-3227% win rate
Division 225.5%
12W·35L·47 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

9.4 (47 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026